Professor Mark Strong
BSc MB ChB MPH MSc PhD MRCPCH FFPH FHEA CStat
Population Health, School of Medicine and Population Health
Dean of the School of Medicine and Population Health
Professor of Public Health
+44 114 222 0812
Full contact details
Population Health, School of Medicine and Population Health
Barber House
Sheffield
S10 2HQ
- Profile
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PA: Francesca Baker
Email: f.a.baker@sheffield.ac.uk
I am Dean of the School of Medicine and Population Health (SMPH) and a Professor of Public Health.
I also hold an honorary clinical consultant contract with the Office for Health Improvement and Disparities at the Department of Health and Social Care.
- Research interests
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I have three related research interests that fall under the general banner of Uncertainty Quantification:
- How do we properly account for all relevant uncertainties when we build a computer model of a physical, biological or social system?
- How do we (efficiently) compute value of information?
- How do we work out the value of a computer model? How much should we pay to make a simple model more complex? When do we stop increasing the complexity of a model?
Jeremy Oakley, Jim Chilcott and I have proposed an "internal" discrepancy-based method for managing model uncertainty. See this paper in JRSS Series C, and this paper in SIAM/ASA Journal of Uncertainty Quantification that develops the idea of the 'Expected Value of Model Improvement'. The method is discussed in more detail in my PhD thesis.
We have proposed an efficient method for computing partial EVPI. This method works for any number of parameters of interest and requires only the PSA sample. See this open access paper in Medical Decision Making. R functions to implement the method can be downloaded here.
Our online web calculator for partial EVPI, SAVI, is easy to use: Just upload your PSA sample and SAVI does the rest.
SAVI is also available as an R package from GitHub. This allows users to run the SAVI app on their own machine, and removes the need to transfer any data over the net. Installation instructions.
The partial EVPI method extends nicely to the computation of EVSI. See here for our open access paper on the efficient computation of EVSI.
Current and recent projects
- Calibrated Agent Simulations for Combined Analysis of Drinking Etiologies (CASCADE): A US National Institutes of Health funded project on alcohol consumption (2016-2021). PI - Robin Purshouse.
- Systems Science in Public Health and Health Economic Research (SIPHER): A major UK Prevention Research Partnership funded project that will generate evidence for healthy public policy through a systems-science approach (2019-2024). PI - Petra Meier.
- Publications
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Show: Featured publications All publications
Featured publications
Journal articles
- Advancing unanchored simulated treatment comparisons: a novel implementation and simulation study. Research Synthesis Methods. View this article in WRRO
- Guidance on the use of complex systems models for economic evaluations of public health interventions.. Health Econ, 32(7), 1603-1625.
- General Purpose Methods for Simulating Survival Data for Expected Value of Sample Information Calculations.. Med Decis Making, 272989X231162069.
- Value of Information Analysis in Models to Inform Health Policy. Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, 9, 95-118.
- An Efficient Method for Computing Expected Value of Sample Information for Survival Data from an Ongoing Trial. Medical Decision Making, 42(5), 612-625. View this article in WRRO
- Simulating Study Data to Support Expected Value of Sample Information Calculations: A Tutorial. Medical Decision Making, 42(2), 143-155.
- A Computationally Efficient Method for Probabilistic Parameter Threshold Analysis for Health Economic Evaluations.. Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making, 40(5), 669-679. View this article in WRRO
- Multiobjective Genetic Programming Can Improve the Explanatory Capabilities of Mechanism-Based Models of Social Systems. Complexity, 2020, 1-20. View this article in WRRO
- A software architecture for mechanism-based social systems modelling in agent-based simulation models. JASSS, 23(3), 1-25. View this article in WRRO
- Computing the Expected Value of Sample Information Efficiently: Practical Guidance and Recommendations for Four Model-Based Methods.. Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(6), 734-742. View this article in WRRO
- Introduction to Metamodeling for Reducing Computational Burden of Advanced Analyses with Health Economic Models: A Structured Overview of Metamodeling Methods in a 6-Step Application Process. Medical Decision Making, 40(3), 348-363.
- Calculating the Expected Value of Sample Information in Practice: Considerations from 3 Case Studies. Medical Decision Making, 40(3), 314-326. View this article in WRRO
- Value of Information Analytical Methods: Report 2 of the ISPOR Value of Information Analysis Emerging Good Practices Task Force.. Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(3), 277-286. View this article in WRRO
- Value of Information Analysis for Research Decisions-An Introduction: Report 1 of the ISPOR Value of Information Analysis Emerging Good Practices Task Force.. Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(2), 139-150. View this article in WRRO
- "Stick or Twist?" Negotiating Price and Data in an Era of Conditional Approval.. Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(2), 191-199. View this article in WRRO
- Estimating the Expected Value of Sample Information Using the Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis Sample. Medical Decision Making, 35(5), 570-583. View this article in WRRO
- Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis of a Cardiac Cell Model Using a Gaussian Process Emulator. PLoS ONE, 10(6). View this article in WRRO
- Estimating Multiparameter Partial Expected Value of Perfect Information from a Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis Sample: A Nonparametric Regression Approach. Medical Decision Making, 34(3), 311-326. View this article in WRRO
- When Is a Model Good Enough? Deriving the Expected Value of Model Improvement via Specifying Internal Model Discrepancies. SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 2(1), 106-125. View this article in WRRO
- Managing structural uncertainty in health economic decision models: A discrepancy approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics. View this article in WRRO
Conference proceedings papers
- Toward inverse generative social science using multi-objective genetic programming. Proceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference
Preprints
- Improving Cycle Corrections in Discrete Time Markov Models: A Gaussian Quadrature Approach, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
All publications
Journal articles
- Unpaid caring and heath-related quality of life: longitudinal analysis of Understanding Society (the UK Household Longitudinal Survey). Value in Health.
- Advancing unanchored simulated treatment comparisons: a novel implementation and simulation study. Research Synthesis Methods. View this article in WRRO
- Relationship of cardiorenal risk factors with albuminuria based on age, smoking, glycaemic status and BMI: a retrospective cohort study of the UK Biobank data. BMJ Public Health, 1(1), e000172-e000172.
- Prevalence and Incidence of Huntington's Disease.. Mov Disord, 38(8), 1570-1572.
- Trajectories of Child Cognitive and Socioemotional Development and Associations with Adolescent Health in the UK Millennium Cohort Study. Journal of Pediatrics, 263.
- Guidance on the use of complex systems models for economic evaluations of public health interventions.. Health Econ, 32(7), 1603-1625.
- General Purpose Methods for Simulating Survival Data for Expected Value of Sample Information Calculations.. Med Decis Making, 272989X231162069.
- Cost-Effectiveness and Value of Information Analysis of an Ambient Intelligent Geriatric Management (AmbIGeM) System Compared to Usual Care to Prevent Falls in Older People in Hospitals. Applied Health Economics and Health Policy.
- Value of Information Analysis in Models to Inform Health Policy. Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, 9, 95-118.
- An Efficient Method for Computing Expected Value of Sample Information for Survival Data from an Ongoing Trial. Medical Decision Making, 42(5), 612-625. View this article in WRRO
- Simulating Study Data to Support Expected Value of Sample Information Calculations: A Tutorial. Medical Decision Making, 42(2), 143-155.
- Relationships between child development at school entry and adolescent health—a participatory systematic review. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(21).
- A Practical Guide to Modeling and Conducting a Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Companion Biomarker Tests for Targeted Therapies Using R: Tutorial Paper. PharmacoEconomics, 39(12), 1373-1381.
- Impact of child development at primary school entry on adolescent health-protocol for a participatory systematic review.. Systematic reviews, 10(1), 142. View this article in WRRO
- A Review of Web-Based Tools for Value-of-Information Analysis.. Appl Health Econ Health Policy. View this article in WRRO
- Fresh street: the development and feasibility of a place-based, subsidy for fresh fruit and vegetables.. J Public Health (Oxf). View this article in WRRO
- Introducing CASCADEPOP: an open-source sociodemographic simulation platform for US health policy appraisal. International Journal of Microsimulation, 13(2), 21-60.
- A Computationally Efficient Method for Probabilistic Parameter Threshold Analysis for Health Economic Evaluations.. Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making, 40(5), 669-679. View this article in WRRO
- Multiobjective Genetic Programming Can Improve the Explanatory Capabilities of Mechanism-Based Models of Social Systems. Complexity, 2020, 1-20. View this article in WRRO
- A software architecture for mechanism-based social systems modelling in agent-based simulation models. JASSS, 23(3), 1-25. View this article in WRRO
- Computing the Expected Value of Sample Information Efficiently: Practical Guidance and Recommendations for Four Model-Based Methods.. Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(6), 734-742. View this article in WRRO
- Introduction to Metamodeling for Reducing Computational Burden of Advanced Analyses with Health Economic Models: A Structured Overview of Metamodeling Methods in a 6-Step Application Process. Medical Decision Making, 40(3), 348-363.
- Calculating the Expected Value of Sample Information in Practice: Considerations from 3 Case Studies. Medical Decision Making, 40(3), 314-326. View this article in WRRO
- Value of Information Analytical Methods: Report 2 of the ISPOR Value of Information Analysis Emerging Good Practices Task Force.. Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(3), 277-286. View this article in WRRO
- Value of Information Analysis for Research Decisions-An Introduction: Report 1 of the ISPOR Value of Information Analysis Emerging Good Practices Task Force.. Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(2), 139-150. View this article in WRRO
- "Stick or Twist?" Negotiating Price and Data in an Era of Conditional Approval.. Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(2), 191-199. View this article in WRRO
- Cost-effectiveness of offering an area-level financial incentive on breast feeding: a within-cluster randomised controlled trial analysis.. Archives of disease in childhood, 105(2), 155-159. View this article in WRRO
- Learning across the UK: a review of public health systems and policy approaches to early child development since political devolution. Journal of public health (Oxford, England), 42(2), 224-238. View this article in WRRO
- The SIPHER Consortium: Introducing the new UK hub for systems science in public health and health economic research.. Wellcome open research, 4, 174. View this article in WRRO
- 27 years of prenatal diagnosis for Huntington disease in the United Kingdom. Genetics in Medicine. View this article in WRRO
- Population and fertility by age and sex for 195 countries and territories, 1950–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet, 392(10159), 1995-2051. View this article in WRRO
- Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 359 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet, 392(10159), 1859-1922.
- Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet, 392(10159), 1789-1858.
- Alcohol outlet density and alcohol related hospital admissions in England: a national small-area level ecological study. Addiction, 113(11), 2051-2059. View this article in WRRO
- Choice of time horizon critical in estimating costs and effects of changes to HIV programmes. PLoS ONE, 13(5). View this article in WRRO
- Valuing Breastfeeding: Health Care Professionals’ Experiences of Delivering a Conditional Cash Transfer Scheme for Breastfeeding in Areas With Low Breastfeeding Rates. SAGE Open, 8(2). View this article in WRRO
- Socioeconomic deprivation, mortality and health of within-city migrants: a population cohort study. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 72(6), 519-525. View this article in WRRO
- Erratum: Corrigendum: A systematic review and economic evaluation of bisphosphonates for the prevention of fragility fractures (Health technology assessment (Winchester, England) (2016) 20 78 (1-406)). Health technology assessment (Winchester, England), 20(78), 407-424. View this article in WRRO
- Effect of financial incentives on breastfeeding a cluster randomized clinical trial. JAMA Pediatrics, 172(2). View this article in WRRO
- Valuing breastfeeding: a qualitative study of women’s experiences of a financial incentive scheme for breastfeeding. BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, 18(1). View this article in WRRO
- Predictive testing of minors for Huntington's disease: The UK and Netherlands experiences. American Journal of Medical Genetics Part B: Neuropsychiatric Genetics, 177(1), 35-39. View this article in WRRO
- Women's preferences for alternative financial incentive schemes for breastfeeding: A discrete choice experiment.. PLoS One, 13(4), e0194231. View this article in WRRO
- The HTA Risk Analysis Chart: Visualising the Need for and Potential Value of Managed Entry Agreements in Health Technology Assessment. PharmacoEconomics, 35(12), 1287-1296. View this article in WRRO
- Department of Error. The Lancet, 390(10106), e38-e38.
- Global, regional, and national under-5 mortality, adult mortality, age-specific mortality, and life expectancy, 1970–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet, 390(10100), 1084-1150. View this article in WRRO
- Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet, 390(10100), 1151-1210. View this article in WRRO
- Improving ART programme retention and viral suppression are key to maximising impact of treatment as prevention - a modelling study. BMC Infectious Diseases, 17(557). View this article in WRRO
- Healthcare Access and Quality Index based on mortality from causes amenable to personal health care in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2015: a novel analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. View this article in WRRO
- Trends in alcohol-related admissions to hospital by age, sex and socioeconomic deprivation in England, 2002/03 to 2013/14.. BMC Public Health, 17(1), 412-412. View this article in WRRO
- Universal test, treat, and keep: improving ART retention is key in cost-effective HIV control in Uganda.. BMC Infectious Diseases, 17, 322-322. View this article in WRRO
- Investigation of the Association Between Alcohol Outlet Density and Alcohol-Related Hospital Admission Rates in England: Study Protocol.. JMIR Research Protocols, 5(4), e243-e243. View this article in WRRO
- The cost-effectiveness of an updated theory-based online health behavior intervention for new university students: U@Uni2. Journal of Public Health & Epidemiology, 8(10), 191-203. View this article in WRRO
- Erratum: 22 Years of predictive testing for Huntington’s disease: the experience of the UK Huntington’s Prediction Consortium. European Journal of Human Genetics, 24(10), 1515-1515.
- Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet, 388(10053), 1813-1850. View this article in WRRO
- A systematic review and economic evaluation of bisphosphonates for the prevention of fragility fractures. Health Technology Assessment, 20(78), 1-406. View this article in WRRO
- Investigation of social, demographic and health variations in the usage of prescribed and over-the-counter medicines within a large cohort (South Yorkshire, UK). BMJ Open, 6, e012038-e012038. View this article in WRRO
- Patterns of multimorbidity and their association with health outcomes within Yorkshire, England: Baseline results from the Yorkshire Health Study. BMC Public Health, 16(649). View this article in WRRO
- The global prevalence of Huntington’s disease: a systematic review and discussion. Neurodegenerative Disease Management, 6(4), 331-343. View this article in WRRO
- Efficient Value of Information Calculation Using a Nonparametric Regression Approach: An Applied Perspective. Value in Health, 19(4), 505-509. View this article in WRRO
- Who are the obese? A cluster analysis exploring subgroups of the obese. Journal of Public Health, 38(2), 258-264. View this article in WRRO
- Cohort Profile: The Yorkshire Health Study.. Int J Epidemiol, 45(3), 707-712. View this article in WRRO
- 22 Years of predictive testing for Huntington’s disease: the experience of the UK Huntington’s Prediction Consortium. European Journal of Human Genetics, 24, 1396-1402.
- Cluster randomised controlled trial of a financial incentive for mothers to improve breast feeding in areas with low breastfeeding rates: the NOSH study protocol. BMJ Open, 6. View this article in WRRO
- Evaluating a novel cervical orthosis, the Sheffield Support Snood, in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis/motor neuron disease with neck weakness. Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis, 17(5-6), 436-442. View this article in WRRO
- The Head Injury Transportation Straight to Neurosurgery (HITS-NS) randomised trial: a feasibility study.. Health Technol Assess, 20(1), 1-198. View this article in WRRO
- Do marginal investments made by NHS healthcare commissioners in the UK produce the outcomes they hope to achieve? Observational study. BMJ Open, 5(11). View this article in WRRO
- Erratum: Bayesian sensitivity analysis of a cardiac cell model using a Gaussian process mulator (PLoS ONE (2015) 10:6 (e0130252) DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0130252). PLoS ONE, 10(8). View this article in WRRO
- Estimating the Expected Value of Sample Information Using the Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis Sample. Medical Decision Making, 35(5), 570-583. View this article in WRRO
- Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis of a Cardiac Cell Model Using a Gaussian Process Emulator. PLoS ONE, 10(6). View this article in WRRO
- Encouraging breastfeeding: Financial incentives. Practising Midwife, 18(2), 18-21.
- Agile development of an attitude-behaviour driven simulation of alcohol consumption dynamics. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 18(3). View this article in WRRO
- ‘Fish out of water’: a cross-sectional study on the interaction between social and neighbourhood effects on weight management behaviours. International Journal of Obesity, 39(3), 535-541. View this article in WRRO
- Scabies. BMJ clinical evidence, 2014.
- Healthcare providers’ views on the acceptability of financial incentives for breastfeeding: a qualitative study. BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, 14(1), 355-355. View this article in WRRO
- GEOMED 2013 – From spatial analysis to public health practice. Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology, 10, 27-28.
- Deprivation, clubs and drugs: results of a UK regional population-based cross-sectional study of weight management strategies.. BMC Public Health, 14, 444. View this article in WRRO
- Estimating Multiparameter Partial Expected Value of Perfect Information from a Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis Sample: A Nonparametric Regression Approach. Medical Decision Making, 34(3), 311-326. View this article in WRRO
- Bayesian hierarchical modelling of noisy spatial rates on a modestly large and discontinuous irregular lattice. Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 23(6), 552-571.
- Assessing the impact of selective migration and care homes on geographical inequalities in health - A total population cohort study in Sheffield. Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology. View this article in WRRO
- When Is a Model Good Enough? Deriving the Expected Value of Model Improvement via Specifying Internal Model Discrepancies. SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 2(1), 106-125. View this article in WRRO
- Accuracy of diagnosis and classification of COPD in primary and specialist nurse-led respiratory care in Rotherham, UK: a cross-sectional study. Primary Care Respiratory Journal.
- The cost-effectiveness of a theory-based online health behaviour intervention for new university students: an economic evaluation. BMC Public Health, 14(1). View this article in WRRO
- What is the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of cytisine compared with varenicline for smoking cessation? A systematic review and economic evaluation.. Health Technol Assess, 18(33), 1-120.
- Fast efficient computation of expected value of sample information from a probabilistic sensitivity analysis sample: a non-parametric regression approach. Trials, 14(S1).
- Is a large scale community programme as effective as a community rehabilitation programme delivered in the setting of a clinical trial?. BMC Med Res Methodol, 13, 103. View this article in WRRO
- An efficient method for computing single-parameter partial expected value of perfect information.. Med Decis Making, 33(6), 755-766. View this article in WRRO
- How do we know whether our cost-effectiveness model is good enough to support a decision?. The Lancet, 380, S70-S70.
- Plastic food packaging encourages obesity.. BMJ, 344, e3824-e3824.
- Mapping gender variation in the spatial pattern of alcohol-related mortality: A Bayesian analysis using data from South Yorkshire, United Kingdom. Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology. View this article in WRRO
- The Prevalence of Juvenile Huntington's Disease: A Review of the Literature and Meta-Analysis.. PLoS Curr, 4, e4f8606b742ef3.
- Commissioning processes in primary care trusts: a repeated cross-sectional survey of health care commissioners in England.. J Health Serv Res Policy, 17 Suppl 1, 31-39.
- Cochrane Review: Interventions for treating scabies. Evidence-Based Child Health: A Cochrane Review Journal, 6(6), 1790-1862.
- Erratum. Journal of Public Health, 33(4), 636-636.
- Managing structural uncertainty in health economic decision models: A discrepancy approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics. View this article in WRRO
- Bayesian inference for comorbid disease risks using marginal disease risks and correlation information from a separate source.. Med Decis Making, 31(4), 571-581. View this article in WRRO
- Sarcoptes-World Molecular Network (Sarcoptes-WMN): integrating research on scabies. International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 15(5), e294-e297.
- Estimating expected value of sample information for incomplete data models using Bayesian approximation.. Med Decis Making, 31(6), 839-852.
- The 'Pounds for Pounds' weight loss financial incentive scheme: an evaluation of a pilot in NHS Eastern and Coastal Kent.. J Public Health (Oxf), 33(4), 536-542.
- A poisoned chalice?. BMJ, 341, c4179.
- Adverse effects of oseltamivir. Pediatria Catalana, 70(3), 131.
- Adverse drug effects following oseltamivir mass treatment and prophylaxis in a school outbreak of 2009 pandemic influenza A(H1N1) in June 2009, Sheffield, United Kingdom.. Euro Surveill, 15(19), pii/19565.
- The UK Quality and Outcomes Framework pay-for-performance scheme and spirometry: Rewarding quality or just quantity? A cross-sectional study in Rotherham, UK. BMC Health Services Research, 9. View this article in WRRO
- A/H1N1 pandemic. Oseltamivir's adverse events.. BMJ, 339, b3249.
- Accurate deprivation scores are needed. BRIT MED J, 337.
- Treating Scabies Results From an Updated Cochrane Review Reply. ARCH DERMATOL, 144(12), 1640-1641.
- Scabies. BMJ clinical evidence, 2008.
- Scabies.. BMJ Clin Evid, 2008.
- Financial incentives and GPs: What about the impact on patient health?. BMJ, 335(7610), 60.
- A qualitative study of primary care clinicians' views of treating childhood obesity. BMC Family Practice, 8. View this article in WRRO
- A method for modelling GP practice level deprivation scores using GIS. International Journal of Health Geographics, 6. View this article in WRRO
- Interventions for treating scabies. COCHRANE DB SYST REV(3).
- The QOF equity window: an illusion or a different view? Reply. J PUBLIC HEALTH-UK, 28(3), 294-294.
- Scabies.. Clin Evid(15), 2284-2290.
- Socioeconomic deprivation, coronary heart disease prevalence and quality of care: A practice-level analysis in Rotherham using data from the new UK general practitioner Quality and Outcomes Framework. Journal of Public Health, 28(1), 39-42.
- A comparison of methods for calculating general practice level socioeconomic deprivation.. Int J Health Geogr, 5, 29. View this article in WRRO
- Are socio-economic inequalities in mortality decreasing in Trent Region, UK? An observational study, 1988-1998.. J Public Health Med, 24(2), 120-122.
Chapters
- The Expected Value of Sample Information, Value of Information for Healthcare Decision-Making (pp. 92-168). Chapman and Hall/CRC
- Economic Evaluation and Cost-Effectiveness of Health Care Interventions, Bayesian Methods in Pharmaceutical Research (pp. 301-315).
- Value of Information for Healthcare Decision-Making Chapman and Hall/CRC
- Scabies, Evidence-Based Dermatology (pp. 432-440). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
Conference proceedings papers
- 607 Impact of childhood social and emotional development on adolescent health: longitudinal analysis from the UK millennium cohort study. British Association of Child and Adolescent Public Health
- AN EXTENDED SIMULATED TREATMENT COMPARISON APPROACH ACCOUNTING FOR UNOBSERVED CONFOUNDING IN INDIRECT COMPARISONS FOR SINGLE-ARM TRIALS. VALUE IN HEALTH, Vol. 25(12) (pp S358-S358)
- EXPECTED VALUE OF SAMPLE INFORMATION FOR SURVIVAL DATA FROM ONGOING TRIALS. MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, Vol. 41(4) (pp E343-E344)
- 41st Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making, Portland, Oregon, October 20–23, 2019. Medical Decision Making, Vol. 40(1) (pp E1-E379)
- PRACTICAL CONSIDERATIONS FOR THE EFFICIENT COMPUTATION OF THE EXPECTED VALUE OF SAMPLE INFORMATION TO PRIORITIZE RESEARCH IN HEALTH CARE. MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, Vol. 40(1) (pp E63-E64)
- CALCULATING THE EXPECTED VALUE OF SAMPLE INFORMATION IN PRACTICE: CONSIDERATIONS FROM THREE CASE STUDIES. MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, Vol. 40(1) (pp E337-E338)
- PNS337: Improving on cycle corrections for time-homogeneous markov models. Value in Health, Vol. 22(Suppl 3) (pp S821-S821). Copenhagen, Denmark, 2 November 2019 - 2 November 2019. View this article in WRRO
- Understanding public health systems: a participatory systematic review and systems infographic. The Lancet, Vol. 394 (pp S22-S22)
- Toward inverse generative social science using multi-objective genetic programming. Proceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference
- PLATFORM FOR CALIBRATED, SYSTEM-BASED MODELS OF ALCOHOL USE DYNAMICS. ALCOHOLISM-CLINICAL AND EXPERIMENTAL RESEARCH, Vol. 42 (pp 331A-331A)
- Expected Value of Sample Information For Individual Level Simulation Models To Inform Stop/Go Decision Making By Public Research Funders: A Methodology for The Dafneplus Diabetes Education Cluster Rct. Value in Health, Vol. 20(9) (pp A776-A776) View this article in WRRO
- Challenging social norms: discourse analysis of a research project aiming to use financial incentives to change breastfeeding behaviours. The Lancet, Vol. 390 (pp S75-S75) View this article in WRRO
- J1 Predictive testing for huntington’s disease (HD) in the UK 1994 – 2014: changes in age distribution and outcome of results. Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry, Vol. 87(Suppl 1) (pp A75.3-A75)
- I1 The prevalence of huntington’s disease (HD): a systematic review of reports published since 1993. Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry, Vol. 87(Suppl 1) (pp A59.2-A59)
- How to Calculate Value of Information in Seconds Using ‘Savi’, the Sheffield Accelerated Value of Information Web App. Value in Health, Vol. 18(7) (pp A725-A726) View this article in WRRO
- Simulation optimisation of Treatment Sequences for Rheumatoid arthritis. Value in Health, Vol. 18(7) (pp A343-A343)
- ‘Paying mums to breastfeed' - can it work?. European Journal of Public Health, Vol. 25(suppl_3) View this article in WRRO
- Are financial incentives for breastfeeding feasible in the UK? A mixed methods field study. The Lancet, Vol. 384 (pp S5-S5)
- A Framework for the Economic Evaluation of Sequential Therapies for Chronic Conditions. Value in Health, Vol. 17(7) (pp A584-A584)
- K06 Uptake of Predictive Tests for Huntington's Disease (HD) in the UK 1993-2012. Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry, Vol. 85(Suppl 1) (pp A80-A81)
- Views on the acceptability of financial incentives for breastfeeding: a qualitative study. LANCET, Vol. 382 (pp 103-103)
Reports
- Four Nations Study: A comparative systems review and thematic policy analysis of public health across the four constituent countries of the UK
Posters
- Modelling recurrent event data: a comparison of the Cox proportional hazards model and three of its extensions to estimate the risk of recurrent healthcare-associated infections. Sixth Annual Survival Analysis for Junior Researchers.
- A Framework for the Economic Evaluation of Sequential Therapies for Chronic Conditions (2014). ISPOR.
- Understanding public health systems: a participatory systematic review and systems infographic.
- Early Years Policy in the UK - from the child’s perspective.
Other
- Department of Error. The Lancet, 394(10216), 2242-2242.
- Erratum: 22 Years of predictive testing for Huntington's disease: the experience of the UK Huntington's Prediction Consortium. European Journal of Human Genetics, 25(11), 1290-1290.
Preprints
- Fresh Street Report_Sheffield, Center for Open Science.
- An Efficient Method for Computing Expected Value of Sample Information for Survival Data from an Ongoing Trial, arXiv.
- View this article in WRRO Calibration and Validation of the Microsimulation Model in Cancer of the Bowel (MiMiC-Bowel), an Individual Patient Simulation Model for Investigation of the Cost-effectiveness of Personalised Screening and Surveillance Strategies..
- Impact of Child Development at Primary School Entry on Adolescent Health – Protocol for a Participatory Systematic Review., Research Square Platform LLC.
- Improving Cycle Corrections in Discrete Time Markov Models: A Gaussian Quadrature Approach, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
- Computing the Expected Value of Sample Information Efficiently: Expertise and Skills Required for Four Model-Based Methods, arXiv.
- Calculating the Expected Value of Sample Information in Practice: Considerations from Three Case Studies, arXiv.
- Research group
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PhD students
- Teaching interests
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I teach on the Master in Public Health (MPH) course, the MSc in Health Economics and Decision Modelling course, and the medical undergraduate MB ChB degree. I also support registrars on the Yorkshire and Humber public health training scheme who are taking the DFPH exam.
PhD opportunities
I welcome PhD applications at any time. You are welcome to email me to discuss an idea before making an application. I supervise students who are interested in the topics of Value of Information and Uncertainty Quantification in health economic decision making.